Coronavirus Spread: A Visual Model
Outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially. A lot of the attention currently is around “open America for business” or “flatten the curve”. This so-called exponential curve has experts worried. If the number of cases were to continue to double every three days, there would be about a hundred million cases in the United States by May.
The Washington Post shared a simulation based on a fake disease simulitis. This is math. Let’s see what happens when simulitis spreads in a town of 200 people. We will start everyone in town at a random position, moving at a random angle, and we will make one person sick.
This is why efforts including washing hands frequently, are important. Innovative products like portable paper soap can be useful. If you wear a mask the experts recommend the N95 for best results.
When it comes to the real covid-19, we would prefer to slow the spread of the virus before it infects a large portion of the U.S. population.
Efforts to slow the virus are of major importance around the world. Because an economy works better with the maximum number of participants.